Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.615415e-05 9.269785e-05 0.000111 0.000131 0.000154 0.000179 0.000207
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.366447e-05 7.386210e-05 0.000097 0.000126 0.000160 0.000198 0.000243
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.072757e-05 6.197856e-05 0.000088 0.000122 0.000162 0.000209 0.000267
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.054474e-05 5.190161e-05 0.000080 0.000117 0.000164 0.000220 0.000291
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.416158e-05 4.536498e-05 0.000074 0.000115 0.000168 0.000232 0.000314
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.793592e-05 3.803887e-05 0.000067 0.000110 0.000167 0.000238 0.000330
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.432748e-05 3.385921e-05 0.000064 0.000109 0.000171 0.000249 0.000352
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.125885e-05 3.000325e-05 0.000060 0.000108 0.000174 0.000260 0.000374
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.379025e-06 2.573562e-05 0.000056 0.000104 0.000174 0.000265 0.000389
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 6.036180e-06 2.187431e-05 0.000051 0.000101 0.000173 0.000270 0.000403
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 4.348304e-06 1.880692e-05 0.000048 0.000098 0.000173 0.000276 0.000418
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.652593e-06 1.495656e-05 0.000042 0.000091 0.000168 0.000273 0.000422
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.940041e-06 1.407826e-05 0.000043 0.000098 0.000185 0.000308 0.000482
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.036009e-07 1.052235e-05 0.000038 0.000094 0.000187 0.000321 0.000514
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.462437e-07 7.734384e-06 0.000034 0.000090 0.000188 0.000331 0.000541
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.635006e-08 5.595447e-06 0.000030 0.000087 0.000189 0.000342 0.000570
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.227647e-10 4.162525e-06 0.000027 0.000085 0.000192 0.000355 0.000602
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.773844e-06 0.000023 0.000081 0.000191 0.000363 0.000627
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.019609e-06 0.000022 0.000080 0.000195 0.000378 0.000661
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 1.431400e-06 0.000020 0.000079 0.000199 0.000394 0.000696
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 8.613024e-07 0.000018 0.000076 0.000199 0.000402 0.000721
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 4.690565e-07 0.000015 0.000073 0.000199 0.000410 0.000746
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 2.325935e-07 0.000014 0.000071 0.000200 0.000419 0.000771